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Declining organic search traffic

20 February, 2026

Understanding the Latest Trend: Organic Search Traffic Slightly Down Year-Over-Year

Recent data from an extensive industry analysis shows that organic search traffic in the U.S. dipped about 2.5% year-over-year, contradicting some claims that search visibility is collapsing amid the rise of generative AI and changing search behaviors.

What the Data Reveals?

A large-scale study examined traffic trends across more than 40,000 major U.S. websites using Similarweb’s insights. The goal was to compare how organic search performance from early 2024 through most of 2025 has shifted. Rather than a dramatic drop, the overall picture shows a modest decline in organic visits.

This challenges some narratives that search engines are rapidly losing relevance because people are turning exclusively to AI tools like ChatGPT for answers.

As search engines evolve beyond traditional blue links, businesses need modern SEO strategies for an AI-first search era to maintain visibility across AI summaries, featured results, and zero-click experiences.

A Closer Look at Site Sizes

The impact of traffic changes isn’t uniform across all types of websites:

Largest sites (top 10) saw a slight gain in organic search traffic.
Mid-sized sites (roughly ranking between 100 and 10,000) experienced much of the drop.

This suggests that established, highly authoritative destinations may better weather shifts in search behavior compared with smaller publishers.

Is AI Really to Blame?

A common belief is that AI-powered features on search engines, such as Google’s AI summaries or overview boxes, have drastically reduced click-throughs to traditional web links. While these AI elements do lower click-through rates on some informational queries, they aren’t causing a total collapse in organic traffic – at least according to the latest findings.

Other third-party research also confirms that when AI summaries appear, users often find answers directly on the results page and don’t click further, especially for simple informational queries. This behavior can reduce traffic but doesn’t fully explain why overall organic visits are still relatively stable.

This shift reflects a broader industry movement toward AI-first search experiences that redefine how users discover brands and content, rather than eliminating organic visibility altogether.

Paid Search Still Coexists with Organic Results

Another concern is that paid ads might be drawing clicks away from organic listings. The new data shows only a slight increase in ad click share, and organic listings continue to generate the majority of clicks compared to paid advertisements.

This means organic search remains a core channel for discovery and engagement, even in a more complex search environment.

Why This Matters for SEO?

SEO continues to be an essential part of online marketing. What’s changing is the nature of how people use search engines:

Search results now include many different elements - from featured snippets to AI summaries - that compete for attention.
Users may get answers without clicking through, especially for straightforward informational questions.

So while the volume of clicks from organic search may shift year-over-year, the demand for search information hasn’t disappeared.

With more answers appearing directly on the results page, brands must now optimize not just for rankings, but for SEO in an era of zero-click and AI-generated results that prioritize authority, clarity, and trust.

Looking Ahead

Rather than signalling the “death” of SEO, these trends suggest that search optimization strategies need to evolve. Marketers must adapt to various search result features, focus on user intent, and diversify their approaches beyond traditional SEO to include other discovery channels.

To stay competitive in this changing landscape, marketers should follow a complete SEO playbook for AI-driven visibility that aligns technical performance, content authority, and multi-platform discovery.

FAQs

1. Is organic search traffic really declining in 2026?
Industry data shows a small year-over-year dip, not a major collapse. While some sites are seeing fewer clicks, especially for informational queries, search remains one of the largest traffic sources for most websites.
2. How does AI in Google Search affect organic clicks?
AI summaries and zero-click results can reduce click-through rates by answering questions directly on the search results page. This mainly impacts top-of-funnel content like definitions, how-tos, and quick answers.
3. Which websites are most affected by organic traffic changes?
Mid-sized and niche websites tend to feel the biggest impact. Larger, authoritative domains often maintain or even grow traffic due to stronger brand recognition and higher trust signals.
4. Is SEO still worth investing in for 2026?
Yes. SEO is evolving rather than disappearing. Brands that focus on expert content, strong technical SEO, and multi-channel visibility are still seeing long-term growth.
5. How can businesses protect organic traffic in an AI-first search era?
Focus on content that solves complex problems, targets commercial intent, and builds authority. Optimizing for featured snippets, AI citations, and brand search visibility is becoming essential.
6. What’s the difference between zero-click searches and traditional SEO traffic?
Zero-click searches happen when users get their answers directly on the search page without visiting a website. Traditional SEO traffic comes from users clicking through to your site for deeper information or to take action.
ruchi digital marketing expert

Ruchi SM

Growth Marketer

Ruchi has 10 years of experience in digital marketing and has worked across multiple industries, including tech, insurance, real estate, SaaS, and media & entertainment.

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